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DECEMBER NEWSLETTER
Avoiding a Madoff
Just when you thought it couldn’t get any worse it
does. Not only is the stock market headed to end the year with one of the worst
losses in recent history but now we get the news that hundreds of investors have
fallen for one of the largest Ponzi schemes in history and stand to lose
everything. These investors were, by and large, sophisticated and not the sort
you’d expect to see caught up in a scandal of this sort. Further, the alleged
mastermind, Bernie Madoff, was widely respected and had been involved in the
investment business for decades. How could this have happened? Setting aside the
issues of sloppy regulating, these investors made some basic mistakes and
ignored red flags that could have helped save them from being sucked into this
tragic scheme. Here’s some advice to help you avoid making the same mistakes.
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Don’t be afraid to ask questions. Any legitimate
investment advisor should be willing to sit down with you and explain, in
detail, how they invest for returns, where your money is held and what kind of
risks they take. If they’re not willing to do that then walk away, plain and
simple.
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Don’t be intimidated with talk of fancy investment
strategies. Let’s face it, 90% of investing is not like rocket science, it
just takes hard work. You should be able to understand what your advisor is
doing and how your account is invested. If you can’t understand the strategy
and how it’s executed then you’re probably better off not playing the game.
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Avoid investing in something or with someone just
because a friend does. You can not assume your friend has done all the
appropriate due diligence or even understands the risks he/she is taking. Any
investment or advisor you consider should be investigated completely by you
and not taken on face value just because your friends are involved.
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Trust but verify. The biggest mistake Madoff’s
investors made was allowing him to hold the investments in his accounts and
accepting his periodic account statements on face value. Unless you are
investing in a highly regulated investment like a mutual fund or unit trust,
insist that your funds be held at a third party clearing agent like Pershing,
Fidelity or Schwab. Receiving statements directly from the third party and
matching them against the advisor’s statements is pretty good evidence that
the investments your advisor says are in your account are in fact there. A
larcenous advisor can easily dummy up his firm’s statements but will not be
able to falsify the statements mailed directly to you from a Fidelity or
Schwab.
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If it sounds too good to be true it probably is. As
we are all keenly aware markets go up and down. The simple fact is so should
your investment accounts unless they are held almost entirely in cash. Madoff
posted consistently high returns in all markets, good and bad, and basically
never showed a loss which made him an outlier in the investing world. It was
this too good to be true performance, more than anything else that caused the
few "smart" investors to see through his scheme. Accept the fact that just as
there is no Santa Claus, there is no investment manager that gets it right
every time, all the time.
Madoff’s investors failed to observe these basic
rules or even worse, wanted to believe so badly that they ignored the truth that
was right under their noses. With a little common sense, some simple due
diligence, and a willingness to walk away from something that seems a bit too
good to be true, you can avoid making the same mistake.
Randy Gridley
December, 2008
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